Zcash Solo Odds and Block Luck
How to read your chance of finding a 1.25 ZEC block without treating a calculator as a schedule.
Steps
- Expected time is network hashrate divided by your hashrate, times about 75 seconds.
- A calculator that ignores variance will look precise and still be wrong on any single month.
- Personal luck on your address page counts your shares since your own last block. Shares older than the pool's retention window are not in that figure.
- Size the run for the quiet case. The block, if it comes, pays the finder in the coinbase after the 3% fee.